What Does the Autumn Budget Mean For the UK Energy Sector?
In the wake of the 2024 UK Budget, WeConnect Energy’s CEO, Richard Madden, sat down with Marketing Manager, Shane Kirk, to share his thoughts on recent announcements, exploring issues affecting the energy sector and broader energy-related challenges.
November 14, 2024
During the new Labour Government’s first budget address on 30th October, UK Chancellor Rachel Reeves pledged to “get Britain building again”. As part of this, she issued a series of climate and clean energy commitments.
These spending plans include greater investment in planning departments, more funding for heat pump grants, confirmation of funding for commercial hydrogen projects, and additional cash for the Department of Energy Security and Net Zero (DESNZ) – more than doubling its total budget to around £14.1 billion in 2024-25.
In today’s blog article, we are going to take a closer look at Reeves’ announcements and share our opinions on the potential implications for the UK energy sector in the coming years.
Introduction of Great British Energy
The formation of a state-owned energy company, Great British Energy, marks a significant shift in the UK's approach to solar, wind and hydrogen investments. While the Government has historically relied on private-sector financing for large-scale projects, Great British Energy aims to change that by directly funding clean energy initiatives across the UK. For those interested, some of our employees spoke about GB Energy at length in a previous blog.
GB Energy will be headquartered in Aberdeen, Scotland, drawing from the city’s renowned engineering expertise and importance in the wider UK landscape. Two smaller sites will be created in Edinburgh and Glasgow, with an impressive £8.3 billion allocated over the next five years. An interim chief executive will soon be appointed to take the lead, with help from start-up chair Juergen Maier, ex-CEO of Siemens UK.
Scheduled to receive £125 million in 2025 alone, this pledge will be backed up with £70 billion in private investment, intended to stimulate additional growth sectors. However, it’s important to note that North Sea jobs have been in serious decline for many years. There’s still no additional information on the number of jobs GB Energy is expected to create, and reactions in the market are clearly divided—with optimism prevalent in Scotland, while others view it as a potential 'white elephant.
For now, data from the OEUK trade association shows that the oil and gas sector supports around 30,000 direct and 100,000 indirect jobs across the UK. Robert Gordon University predicts a decline of around 30,000 jobs over the next decade. We expect new oil and gas licences to have a marginal effect on future jobs.
So the budget presents a mixed picture for North Sea activity overall. We know established operators like ExxonMobil and smaller firms such as Serica are abandoning a mature and declining North Sea basin, and exploring opportunities overseas, there is not much clarity on what is likely to happen after 2030.
Nevertheless, Richard Madden, CEO of WeConnect Energy, believes that the commitment should make some difference for Aberdeen and the surrounding region, “the city is home to over 1,000 energy supply chain companies. It has the right people, skills and strategic infrastructure, as well as a future pipeline of projects already in place.”
In a similar vein and on the back of the announcements, Richard expressed concerns about the windfall tax on North Sea oil and gas producers: “You don’t need to sacrifice one industry to build another – in fact, the opposite is the case. Ripping the plaster is not always the most sensible option."
Richard continues by suggesting that this shift should be seen as an evolution rather than a complete transition, with both traditional and renewable industries playing vital, complementary roles—fully echoing the sentiments of over 1,500 skilled and experienced energy workers who participated in our Salary Surveys this year.
Helping Planning Departments to Unlock Renewables
Bureaucratic slowdowns in planning approvals have long been a thorn in the side of renewable energy projects in the UK. As well as impacting solar and wind developments, these delays also create bottlenecks for essential grid upgrades and associated infrastructure. In an effort to address this, Reeves has committed £46 million to hire 300 new planning officers.
This plan is accompanied by a further £5 million to streamline the planning regime for Nationally Significant Infrastructure Projects (NSIPs). This allocation is expected to reduce the timeframe for approval processes, especially for projects with over 50 MW capacity.
Today, planning delays can add up to two years to some projects. A new fast-track consent route should last around four months, instead of the current six. By cutting down on these delays, the government is making a crucial move toward meeting renewable energy targets faster and more efficiently.
Heat Pump Grants to Tackle Domestic Carbon Emissions
Whilst we wouldn’t normally comment on announcements that impact on private households, some Budget topics could also influence the wider job landscape, making them worth mentioning.
Heating is responsible for around a third of the UK's carbon emissions, making it a critical area for climate action. The Boiler Upgrade Scheme (BUS), first launched in 2022, has been instrumental in encouraging households to switch from gas boilers to heat pumps.
The government has now expanded this scheme as part of the £3.4 billion Warm Homes Plan, which also includes £1.8 billion directed at fuel poverty relief.
According to the Department for Energy Security and Net Zero, 55,095 BUS applications were received by September 2024, with air-source heat pumps comprising 97% of applications. The additional funding will increase accessibility for lower-income households and incentivise manufacturers to scale up production. With the average heat pump installation costing £13,000 and BUS grants covering up to £7,500, this move could mark a substantial shift in the way we heat our buildings.
£14.1 billion
Increased Funding for Department of Energy Security and Net Zero (DESNZ)
£3.9 billion
Investment for green hydrogen and carbon capture projects
£18 billion
Projected green hydrogen sector contribution to the UK economy by 2030
Supporting Hydrogen as a Commercial Energy Source
Green hydrogen has emerged as a promising solution for sectors where electrification is unrealistic. Recognising its potential, the UK government pledged support for 11 flagship hydrogen projects selected during the initial hydrogen allocation round (HAR1) in 2022.
These projects, awarded contracts totalling 125 MW capacity at a strike price of £241/MWh, are expected to be among the first commercial-scale hydrogen projects worldwide.
Reeves’ budget commits £3.9 billion to green hydrogen and carbon capture initiatives for 2025-26, a sum that reflects the government’s vision of hydrogen as an integral part of the clean energy mix.
A report from Hydrogen UK estimates that the green hydrogen sector could contribute £18 billion to the UK economy by 2030, highlighting the high stakes of this funding allocation.
This is an area we have also discussed at length in another blog, which was aimed at those in the energy sector who are thinking of switching careers from Oil & Gas to Renewable Energy.
Expanding the UK’s Electric Vehicle (EV) Charging Network
One of the most substantial commitments in the budget is the £200 million investment in EV charge point infrastructure for the 2025-26 fiscal year. This will build on the already existing £2 billion pledged to enhance EV manufacturing and the production of wheelchair-accessible vehicles.
Tax incentives for EV purchases, including reductions in the company car tax regimes and freezes on planned fuel duty increases for gasoline and diesel, were also maintained. EVs now account for 20% of all new vehicle registrations in the UK.
These incentives and infrastructure investments will be vital for keeping the UK's EV adoption on track and addressing public concerns over charging accessibility, which has been a persistent barrier for potential buyers.
Today there are over 400,000 jobs in the UK’s renewables sector, a figure that could increase by 25% by 2030 if everything goes to plan... But that will require even more investment in workforce training and grid infrastructure.
Richard Madden
CEO of WeConnect Energy
Evolving Cost of Carbon for Polluting Sectors
One measure in the Autumn Budget that went down like a lead balloon in some sectors was the increased targeting of carbon-heavy industries, increasing the Energy Profits Levy (EPL) from 35% to 38%, with plans to maintain this rate until 2030. This hike aims to discourage excessive profits in hydrocarbon-based industries while promoting a more sustainable energy model.
The budget further introduced a Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), which will impose a levy on imported industrial goods from high-emission sectors beginning in 2027. The European Union is set to implement a similar mechanism in 2026. According to the Carbon Trust, these EU levies should cut emissions by 10% by 2030.
Some industry leaders welcomed the budget, viewing it as a progressive step toward net-zero goals, albeit with some reservations. The UK Association for Renewable Energy and Clean Technology (REA) praised the inclusion of policies like the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism and Warm Homes Plan, considering them vital for sustainable growth.
Long-Term Issues
Richard has also called for more work on developing a reliable skills pipeline: “Today there are over 400,000 jobs in the UK’s renewables sector, a figure that could increase by 25% by 2030 if everything goes to plan,” he says. “But that will require even more investment in workforce training and grid infrastructure.” We’re especially vocal about the need for new talent in the market, having seen firsthand the sometimes concerning impact of a lack of fresh entrants. For those considering a career in this burgeoning sector, we’ve written about this topic in our blog here.
Richard issues a cautionary note: "My concern is that, with these recent government shifts, the highly skilled, well-paid technical roles may increasingly move abroad to countries more willing to invest in their energy resilience through a balanced mix of traditional oil and gas alongside low-carbon energy solutions. In trying to tax the oil and gas industry heavily, we risk a negative knock-on effect on renewables investment, as it’s often the larger energy companies – those with diverse portfolios – that have the capital to drive low-carbon progress. Over the past five years, we’ve supported many industry experts relocating overseas, and with this latest budget, I can only see this trend continuing, leaving us to wonder if we’re ultimately hampering our own progress in the pursuit of net-zero."
Our 2024 Salary Survey reports reveal significant concerns among UK-based professionals working in the Upstream sector and a pessimistic view of how macroeconomic factors – including government and taxes, are negatively impacting their livelihoods. Richard warns that reduced profits in the oil and gas sector may result in cost-cutting efforts, fewer contracts for local supply chain companies, and significantly larger impacts for what is – an aging workforce. This is likely to have further repercussions for regional employment and skills retention. In short, it seems inevitable that the industry will face some pain points in the near future, and our team here will be keeping a close eye on the impacts in the coming months.
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